A risky prediction: McCain will win

Let me take a break for a moment from talking about Canada's abusive and corrupt human rights commissions. I'd like to make a prediction.

I predict that John McCain will win the U.S. presidential election next week.

I won't give you a detailed analysis, for it's mainly a hunch -- a hunch and a hope. But I still think he's going to win.

I think the conventional wisdom has discounted McCain because of the mainstream media's love-in for Obama, because of peer pressure amongst the opinion establishment and because of misleading polls wherein the chief factor is the pollster's own guess as to a "turn-out rate" for each party.

But I think that the opinion establishment has revealed itself to be Obama cheerleaders and the polls are masking a sizeable chunk of Americans who are uneasy with Obama and won't say so to pollsters.

I believe many Americans are uneasy because Obama has masked himself (with the media's aid). He's masked his past, his friendships and alliances, his philosophy, and even his family details. But every now and then the mask slips and reveals a cultural radical; a constitutional radical; a socialist radical; a foreign affairs radical. And though the mask is quickly fixed back on, and the slip duly papered over by the MSM, I think doubts linger with middle America.

There is much to dislike about John McCain. But he is transparent, and Americans can know and weigh his flaws. I think Americans sense that they haven't been let in on Obama's true identity; they're buying a pig in a poke. And the MSM's increasingly absurd lengths to prop him up and tear down anyone opposed to him are backfiring. The MSM isn't just running defence, they're seen to be running defence -- the Los Angeles Times' partisan decision not to release a videotape of Obama meeting with a Palestinian radical being the perfect example. Americans don't know many details about Obama -- but they know they don't know, and they know they don't know because the media won't investigate Obama. A steady stream of disconcerting reports of voter registration fraud, combined with an extremely heavy-handed approach to dealing with mild critics (like the illegal release of Joe the Plumber's private tax and divorce data) only adds to the feeling of unease.

I bet McCain will win.

P.S. Here's my Op-Ed about Obama that I wrote back in January, for the National Post.